How the Texans can win the division this week!

The Texans can claim their first division crown and first trip to the postseason this coming weekend if they can beat the Bengals and the Titans lose to the Saints.  The scenario in which Gary Kubiak will  get the gatorade bath in Cincinnati this week is quite complicated and goes to the 3rd divisional tie breaker.
Here are the tiebreakers:

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in common games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss  (that would suck!)

The first tiebreaker in this scenario would still be even as we already beat the Titans in Tennessee in week 7, so a loss at home in week 17 is meaningless.  The second tie breaker (divisional record) would also be even as we are currently 4-0 in the division and Tennessee is 1-2.  The worst we could possibly finish is 4-2 and the best that Tennessee can finish is 4-2 as well.  The third tiebreaker is W-L record in common games and this is where it gets complicated.  Our common games would be Indianapolis twice and Jacksonville twice, then we both played the AFC north and the NFC south. Neither of our Strength of schedule games were common.  At this point we can do no worse than 3-1 against Indy and Jacksonville and the best Tennessee can do is 3-1. We are can do no worse than 2-2 in the NFC south as we've already beaten Atlanta and Tampa. If Tennessee loses this weekend their NFC south record will be 2-2 as well. At last we get to the AFC north.  If we win this weekend we will finish the year with 3 wins in the AFC north over Cleveland, Pittsburg, and Cincinnati.  Tennessee already lost two games in the AFC north this year to Cincinnati and Pittsburg, so our 3-1 AFC North record will trump their 2-2 record and break the tie.
Whew!!  I need to take a breath!! So as you can see its possible.  This scenario does require TJ Yates to win his first road game in the NFL, but they always say when you go on the road in the NFL, the two things to make sure and pack are your defense and running game.  Our two strengths.

Go Texans!